Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.024394 0.026491 0.028684 0.031150 0.033846 0.036707 0.039973
2025-07-27 0.020952 0.023978 0.027323 0.031303 0.035916 0.041104 0.047395
2025-08-03 0.018508 0.022014 0.026054 0.031068 0.037139 0.044276 0.053336
2025-08-10 0.016992 0.020855 0.025461 0.031375 0.038802 0.047858 0.059802
2025-08-17 0.015465 0.019490 0.024427 0.030955 0.039409 0.050048 0.064548
2025-08-24 0.014158 0.018263 0.023423 0.030428 0.039750 0.051814 0.068748
2025-08-31 0.013155 0.017331 0.022701 0.030164 0.040347 0.053870 0.073376
2025-09-07 0.012302 0.016522 0.022064 0.029936 0.040929 0.055879 0.077998
2025-09-14 0.011582 0.015836 0.021533 0.029791 0.041576 0.057966 0.082803
2025-09-21 0.010871 0.015113 0.020896 0.029439 0.041879 0.059548 0.086929
2025-09-28 0.010375 0.014656 0.020593 0.029527 0.042791 0.062019 0.092475
2025-10-05 0.009869 0.014151 0.020188 0.029427 0.043402 0.064054 0.097452
2025-10-12 0.009410 0.013709 0.019876 0.029490 0.044320 0.066694 0.103696
2025-10-19 0.009016 0.013343 0.019657 0.029681 0.045451 0.069740 0.110821
2025-10-26 0.008548 0.012837 0.019197 0.029466 0.045925 0.071772 0.116424
2025-11-02 0.008246 0.012565 0.019071 0.029758 0.047203 0.075138 0.124433
2025-11-09 0.007803 0.012048 0.018537 0.029361 0.047331 0.076626 0.129343
2025-11-16 0.007372 0.011527 0.017965 0.028864 0.047252 0.077746 0.133662
2025-11-23 0.007028 0.011125 0.017560 0.028614 0.047563 0.079524 0.139234
2025-11-30 0.006716 0.010758 0.017191 0.028399 0.047911 0.081369 0.145028
2025-12-07 0.006441 0.010438 0.016881 0.028262 0.048378 0.083436 0.151346
2025-12-14 0.006146 0.010070 0.016472 0.027929 0.048475 0.084839 0.156498
2025-12-21 0.005947 0.009854 0.016308 0.028012 0.049311 0.087610 0.164424